Four games this Sunday carry a rain probability above 50%, which is the threshold for a meaningful shift toward the run game. The rest of the slate is calm or domed.
Rain in the Sunday Slate
Indianapolis at Washington: Showers and thunderstorms likely, 74% probability. Wet field, leaning offenses toward the run game.
Rain in the Sunday Slate
Dallas at Houston: Showers and thunderstorms likely, 65% probability. Retractable roof expected open. Same wet-field effect favoring the run.
Rain in the Sunday Slate
Tennessee at Baltimore: Rain showers likely, 63% probability. Wet surface, favor to the ground game.
Rain in the Sunday Slate
Detroit at Carolina: Rain showers likely, 57% probability. Same threshold effect: wet field shifts emphasis to the run.
Neutral Conditions
All other Week 4 games are either under a dome or in conditions neutral to the passing game, kicking, and running game. No weather story.
