Rain and wind will impact four games on the Week 5 slate, while the rest of the schedule plays under fair skies or inside domes.
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
A 53 percent chance of rain showers with light wind. The precipitation factor is active, supporting a ground-oriented game plan. Wet footing and a slick ball shift the advantage toward the run game.
Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers
Rain showers at 92 percent probability, gusts to 26 mph. The sustained wind is below the passing threshold, but gusts and precipitation together tilt the environment toward the run game. The wind gust may affect deep throws on certain snaps, but the primary effect is a wet field.
New York Giants at Washington Commanders
An 83 percent chance of rain showers, gusts to 22 mph. The precipitation run-game factor is active. This is a wet-track game where handoffs and short-area decisions carry more certainty than downfield passes.
Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals
Showers and thunderstorms likely at 65 percent, wind at 25 mph gusting to 36. Both the wind passing factor and the precipitation run factor are flagged. This is the week's most impactful forecast: the passing game fights sustained wind, and the run game fights a wet surface. Every dimension of the game is affected.
Neutral Conditions Across the Rest of the Slate
Tampa Bay at Dallas (retractable roof, clear, 85°F), Philadelphia at Jacksonville (29% rain, light wind), Cincinnati at Miami (mostly sunny, 89°F), Minnesota at New Orleans (dome, 80°F), Chicago at Green Bay (sunny, 73°F), Las Vegas at New England (partly sunny, 65°F), Cleveland at New York Jets (slight chance rain), San Francisco at Seattle (sunny, 58°F), Baltimore at Atlanta (partly cloudy, retractable roof), and the two SoFi Stadium games (Denver at Los Angeles and Buffalo at Los Angeles, both indoors). All these games play under conditions that do not materially alter the football environment. Domes, retractable roofs likely closed, or calm outdoor air — neutral for every phase.
What could change this
- Thunderstorm timing could shift the peak wind window for the Detroit at Arizona game.
